Discussion: Potential tree failure makes for difficult decisions

Arborists are often asked to assess tree hazards on a property and are taught to look at tree health, target, and size.   Jesse Milton, in his casual research, reports that  in 38% of trees that he has observed to fail, the defect was either not visible or there was no defect.   It is no wonder that arborists often recommend to take down healthy-appearing trees near commercial and residential structures.   The decision is particularly tough when the tree is a specimen hardwood that is healthy.   To complicate matters is the bigger issue of probability; typically, it is more likely for a person to get  in a car accident than for the tree to fail.   Arborists are left with measuring the risks and rewards of leaving a tree.   Due to liability issues, these trees are typically removed.  Is this the right course of action or are there alternatives?

3 Comments

  1. Neil
    Posted October 13, 2009 at 11:36 am | Permalink

    38% seems awfully high, in speaking with a consulting arborist in Atlanta, the number of trees he has observed with no sign of defect is closer to 5%. Resistagraph testing might also reduce the percentage of trees where no defect was visible.

  2. Posted October 13, 2009 at 1:05 pm | Permalink

    Emphasis should be placed on “visual”. To accurately complete the statement: “95% of the trees that fail have some type of defect which results in that failure. Those defects may not be visable in 35% of all failures.”

    Decisions to remove trees should be based on the best available science, and application of a hazard rating that considers, the tree part(s), likelihood of failure, and target potential.

    Ed

  3. Posted October 13, 2009 at 4:05 pm | Permalink

    As a clarification, the casual research I performed was in regards to tree failures during the slew of high-wind weather events in April of 2009 only. We were seeing loading speeds of over 50 mph, which is very unusual.

    Of those failures that I recorded, 67% had a defect, but only 38% had a defect that was plainly visible prior to failure. Twenty-three percent of the failures did not have an quantifiable defect at all.

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